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chitown fanatic wrote:WSU will lose 3 conf games and beat Il st by 2 games in standings for 1st. they will also be NIT bound when they pull their usual st Louis sat exit

This could happen. RPI forecast puts the first part at 15%. Based on WSUs history under Marshall, the second part of the equation (losing in St Lew) about 85%. By my math, that puts the odds at or near a 100% certainty.

I just have a hunch UNI, LOY, UE, and ISUb finish in a 4 way tie for 4th at 9-9.

Maybe they would all need to be 8-10 for the math to work, but I just see a definite top 3 and bottom 2 emerging. I'm just not sure yet if SIU will be closer to 3 wins or 8 wins, but I see them as 8th.

PurpleAcesFootball wrote:I just have a hunch UNI, LOY, UE, and ISUb finish in a 4 way tie for 4th at 9-9.

Maybe they would all need to be 8-10 for the math to work, but I just see a definite top 3 and bottom 2 emerging. I'm just not sure yet if SIU will be closer to 3 wins or 8 wins, but I see them as 8th.

As of halftime of Loyola game, UNI is looking much worse than 9-9 or 8-10 this season

BirdsEyeView wrote:

PurpleAcesFootball wrote:I just have a hunch UNI, LOY, UE, and ISUb finish in a 4 way tie for 4th at 9-9.

Maybe they would all need to be 8-10 for the math to work, but I just see a definite top 3 and bottom 2 emerging. I'm just not sure yet if SIU will be closer to 3 wins or 8 wins, but I see them as 8th.

As of halftime of Loyola game, UNI is looking much worse than 9-9 or 8-10 this season

LUC still up 16 with 10 to go.

Stickboy46 wrote:

glm38 wrote:

Redbirdgrad wrote:I honestly don't see how Wichita doesn't go 17-1 this year.

I think they'll win the conference. But I don't see only 1 loss. I think they will lose several on the road.

I can see losses at ISU and MSU ...not sure who else.

After watching the last few days of MVC basketball I agree with you. One to two losses tops for WSU.

Not sure WSU has the experience and steady, consistent play to only lose 1-2 games. Not sure they don't either, but this group hasn't proven that yet.

Old School MVC wrote:WSU 15-3
ISUr 12-6
MSU 12-6
UNI 11-7
ISUb 10-8
LU 9-9
EU 9-9
SIU 5-13
BU 5-13
Drake 2-16

Here are my updated predictions:
ISUr 17-1
WSU 17-1
MSU 11-7
SIU 10-8
LU 9-9
UNI 7-11
Drake 7-11 (Lose Tiebreak to UNI to return to Thursday night)
Bradley 6-12
ISUb 4-14
Evansville 2-16

RPI Forecast says:

ISUr 16-2
WSU 16-2
MSU 10-8
LUC 9-9
SIU 8-10
Drake 7-11
UNI 7-11
Bradley 6-12
UE 6-12
ISUb 5-13

Wufan wrote:RPI Forecast says:

ISUr 16-2
WSU 16-2
MSU 10-8
LUC 9-9
SIU 8-10
Drake 7-11
UNI 7-11
Bradley 6-12
UE 6-12
ISUb 5-13

Wufan, this seems completely reasonable, but do you think that MSU might perform a bit better and Evansville a bit worse?

WSpringsBird wrote:

Wufan wrote:RPI Forecast says:

ISUr 16-2
WSU 16-2
MSU 10-8
LUC 9-9
SIU 8-10
Drake 7-11
UNI 7-11
Bradley 6-12
UE 6-12
ISUb 5-13

Wufan, this seems completely reasonable, but do you think that MSU might perform a bit better and Evansville a bit worse?

I can not see Evansville finishing 5-6 from here on out.