Official 2016-17 MVCfans.com Prediction – 5th Place

In our most recent poll, Southern Illinois was chosen as the likely 6th place finisher in the MVC men’s basketball regular season. Of the teams remaining, who do you think will finish in 5th place?

-You are choosing the team that you believe will finish in 5th place for this regular season. Poll open until Monday, October 3.

Official MVCfans.com – Predictions:
10th Place – Drake
9th Place – Evansville
8th Place – Bradley
7th Place – Loyola
6th Place – Southern Illinois
5th Place …..

-To vote, visit the MVCfans.com Message Board and cast your vote.

 

 

 

Official 2016-17 MVCfans.com Prediction – 6th Place

Loyola was chosen as the likely 7th place finisher in our most recent poll. Who will finish in 6th place during the 2016-17 MVC mens basketball season?

-You are choosing the team that you believe will finish in 6th place for this regular season. Poll open until Wednesday, September 28.

Official MVCfans.com – Predictions:
10th Place – Drake
9th Place – Evansville
8th Place – Bradley
7th Place – Loyola
6th Place …..

-To vote, visit the MVCfans.com Message Board and cast your vote.

Official 2016-17 MVCfans.com Prediction – 10th Place

It’s that time of year again as Valley fans begin to look ahead to the 2016-17 Missouri Valley Conference men’s basketball season. This is the 7th year of our site and, as always, we begin with our preseason user vote to rank the MVC teams. We will work in reverse order, predicting the 10th place finisher this week and concluding with the predicted MVC champion chosen by our users between the last two teams remaining in week 9. Following the team rankings, we will vote on the individual awards and compare them to the media selections.

Here are previous MVCfans.com results (predicted / actual):
2010-11: Wichita State / Missouri State
2011-12: Creighton / Wichita State
2012-13: Creighton / Creighton
2013-14: Wichita State / Wichita State
2014-15: Wichita State / Wichita State
2015-16: Wichita State / Wichita State

Week 1 – Who will finish in 10th place during the 2016-17 MVC men’s basketball season?
-Click the link to visit the MVCfans.com Message Board and cast your vote.

Poll open until the evening of Wednesday, September 7.

Report: Wichita State has contacted Mountain West about possible membership

In a significant development, Dennis Dodd from cbssports.com is reporting that representatives from Wichita State have contacted the Mountain West Conference about possible membership.

Individuals representing Wichita State’s athletic interests have approached the Mountain West Conference about membership, multiple sources told CBS Sports.

Led by president John Bardo, Wichita State has been exploring its conference options in both basketball and football. Last year, Bardo commissioned an ongoing feasibility study to bring football back to the athletic program. The school dropped the sport in 1986.

The 12-member Mountain West only has 11 basketball-playing members as Hawaii plays basketball in the Big West. Wichita State may value its basketball on a larger stage with momentum created by highly successful coach Gregg Marshall.

Through a spokesman, Bardo declined comment.

 
You can discuss this and more on the MVCfans.com Message Board

MVCfans.com 2016 Missouri Valley Conference Awards and Honors

As another Missouri Valley Conference basketball season concludes, today we honor several individuals who had a significant impact on their teams and the conference.

Below are our selections for Missouri Valley Conference Coach of the Year, Freshman of the Year, Newcomer of the Year, and Defensive Player of the Year.

Missouri Valley Conference Coach of the Year:

Barry Hinson, Southern Illinois
It isn’t often that the coach from a 4th place team wins a league coach of the year award, but we made an exception this year.  In his fourth season at the helm in Carbondale, Hinson took a 12-21 team that was predicted to finish 9th in the Valley and led them to an upper half finish (22-9 overall) while reinvigorating a once proud program.  Hinson exceeded all expectations this season and for that reason we are happy to honor Coach Barry Hinson – our 2016 MVCfans.com Coach of the Year.

 

Missouri Valley Conference Freshman of the Year:
Markis McDuffie, Wichita State

In an MVC season dominated by upperclassmen, there was a relative lack of  prominent freshman in 2015-16.  One standout, however, even in a reserve role, was Markis McDuffie of Wichita State.  Despite only averaging 7ppg and 3 rebounds per game, McDuffie played critical minutes as the Shockers battled injuries all season long.  He showed flashes of exceptional play that make him a contender for All-Valley honors in years to come.  Congratulations to Markis McDuffie – the MVCfans.com Freshman of the Year.

 

Missouri Valley Conference Newcomer of the Year:
Dequon Miller, Missouri State

Miller, a transfer from Motlow College in Tennessee,  started all 30 games and was the leading scorer for the Bears in 2015-16.  His year will be remembered by many for big shots made in the closing moments of games against Oklahoma State, UNI, and Loyola.  Miller earned five weekly Newcomer awards this season and for his outstanding play this year, we recognize him as our MVCfans.com Newcomer of the Year.

 

Missouri Valley Conference Defensive Player of the Year:
Ron Baker, Wichita State
The most difficult of the honors awarded, Ron Baker of Wichita State is our defensive player of the year.  A case could be made for both Evansville’s Egidijus Mockevicius and Wichita State’s Fred VanVleet, but after careful consideration we chose Baker for his consistency, effort, and willingness to guard opponents’ toughest scorers on the defensive end.  Congratulations to Ron Baker – MVCfans.com 2015-16 Defensive Player of the Year.

 

MVCfans.com 2016 Player of the Year and All-MVC teams

I am honored once again to recognize the finest players in the Valley with my All-MVC first and second teams, as well as those deserving of honorable mention.

Larry Bird Player of the Year

Fred VanVleet – Wichita State

For the second time in three years, Fred VanVleet is our choice for MVC player of the year.  The seasons (and careers) of the other four players recognized as first teamers are in many ways also deserving, but the impact of VanVleet on the Shockers and the conference is immeasurable.  VanVleet averaged 12.3 points per game and 5.8 assists per game, but it was his composure and leadership that made him a three time 1st Team All-MVC performer.  While it is difficult to separate the careers and legacies of VanVleet and his backcourt partner, Ron Baker, – they will likely be recognized as one of the great pairings in MVC history – it is VanVleet who we ultimately felt was most deserving of this recognition.

First Team All-MVC

Fred VanVleet - Wichita State

Ron Baker – Wichita State

DJ Balentine – Evansville

Egidijus Mockevicius – Evansville

Anthony Beane Jr – SIU

 

Chris’ notes: As we said before the season started it felt like the first four guys on the list were shoo-ins for All-MVC and we were only going to struggle with the final first team selection.  To no one’s surprise, that is exactly what happened.  Beane gets the nod from us as he led the Salukis to a top half finish while averaging 19.4ppg.

Second Team All-MVC

Wes Washpun, UNI

Devonte Brown, Indiana State

Brenton Scott, Indiana State

Dequon Miller, Missouri State

DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell, Illinois State

 

Chris’ notes: Washpun heads the 2nd team and I would listen to the argument that he should be on the first team.  Really difficult decision there.  Brown, Scott and DAP were definitely among the best 10 in my opinion and I went with Miller over several other deserving candidates for the final spot.

Honorable Mention All-MVC

Matt Bohannon, UNI

Jeremy Morgan, UNI

Paris Lee, Illinois State

Milton Doyle, Loyola

Chris Kendrix, Missouri State

Reed Timmer, Drake

MiKyle McIntosh, Illinois State

Montel James, Loyola

Evan Wessel, Wichita State

 

You can discuss this and more on the MVCfans.com message board:

MVCfans.com basketball discussion

Final 2016 Arch Madness seeding probabilities – February 25

What we know:

1) Wichita State will be the #1 seed at Arch Madness

2) Evansville will be the #2 seed with a win over UNI or an Illinois State loss to Wichita State.  Redbirds can finish no lower than the 3 seed.

3) UNI will be the #4 seed with a win.  If UNI loses at Evansville, SIU will be #4 seed with a win over Missouri State.  Salukis can finish no lower than the 5 seed.

4) Missouri State has the inside track to the #6 seed and would avoid Thursday night in STL with a win.  For Indiana State to get the #6 seed, the Sycamores need to beat Bradley at home and have MSU loses at SIU.  Loyola can actually sneak into the #6 seed with a win at Drake, but they would need both Missouri State and Indiana lose on Saturday.

5) No matter the outcomes on Saturday, Bradley will be the #9 seed and Drake will be the #10 seed.

 

 
Thanks again to Hacksaw for his continued support in making this site enjoyable and informative for Missouri Valley Conference fans.

You can discuss this and more on the MVCfans.com Message Board

Updated Arch Madness seeding probabilities – February 21

Thanks to Hacksaw for his continued support!

With 10 conference games remaining, there are 1,024 different outcomes for the remainder of the conference season. The below charts break down the possible finishes. The order used for the RPI tiebreaker is listed in the chart, however as some teams have RPI’s very near one another, it’s possible some movement could affect the probabilities.

The above charts take into account each possible scenario as an equally-weighted possibility. For a more realistic projection of where teams may be seeded, below you will see the remaining 10 conference games with weighted odds attached to them (using Sagarin’s Predictor). These odds are then used to calculate the below seeding probabilities.

You can discuss this and more on the MVCfans.com Message Board

Updated 2016 Arch Madness seeding probabilities

Note: Updated following the conclusion of last night’s MVC games.

With 15 conference games remaining, there are 32,768 different outcomes for the remainder of the conference season. The below charts break down the possible finishes. The current order for the RPI tiebreaker from The RPI Report as of February 18 is: WSU 50, UE 91, ISUr 107, UNI 115, SIU 128, ISUb 168, LUC 219, MSU 223, BU 296, DU 306.

 

The above charts take into account each possible scenario as an equally-weighted possibility. For a more realistic projection of where teams may be seeded, below you will see the remaining 20 conference games with weighted odds attached to them (using Sagarin’s Predictor). These odds are then used to calculate the below seeding probabilities.

You can discuss this and more on the MVCfans.com Message Board

2016 Arch Madness seeding probabilities – February 14

Back by popular demand – one of everyone’s favorite features of The MVC Report.  Thanks to Hacksaw for his continued contribution.

With 20 conference games remaining, there are 1,048,576 different outcomes for the remainder of the conference season. The below charts break down the possible finishes. The top chart is the percentage of scenarios where each team finishes in each respective tournament seed, and the bottom chart is the actual count of those scenarios. These charts take into account the head-to-head tiebreaker (and mini round-robin for a 3+ way tie), if this does not break the tie, it goes to the out of conference strength of schedule tiebreaker. Currently that order is what I have from ESPN (ISUr 5, WSU 21, UNI 28, BU 66, ISUb 117, UE 250, DU 270, MSU 273, LUC 281, SIU 330).

 

The above charts take into account each possible scenario as an equally-weighted possibility. For a more realistic projection of where teams may be seeded, below you will see the remaining 20 conference games with weighted odds attached to them (using Sagarin’s Predictor). These odds are then used to calculate the below seeding probabilities.

 

You can discuss this and more on the MVCfans.com Message Board