MVCfans.com 2015 Missouri Valley Conference Awards and Honors – Part 1

After what was another tremendous Missouri Valley Conference basketball season, today we begin by honoring the best of the past year.  This is the first of two parts of our 2014-15 awards as we recognize a coach and several players for their accomplishments this season.

Below are our selections for Missouri Valley Conference Coach of the Year, Freshman of the Year, Newcomer of the Year, and Defensive Player of the Year.

Missouri Valley Conference Coach of the Year:

Ben Jacobson, Northern Iowa
Others considered: Gregg Marshall, Wichita State

In a year where two head coaches were absolutely deserving of the honor, Ben Jacobson of Northern Iowa is our selection for MVC Coach of the Year.  Jacobson led a UNI team that was without a single vote in the preseason poll into the AP Top 10.  The Panthers were only a New Year’s Eve three point loss (in the league’s first game) away from claiming a share of the MVC regular season title, finishing 16-2 in the MVC and 27-3 overall.   Congrats to Coach Ben Jacobson – our 2015 MVCfans.com Coach of the Year.

 

Missouri Valley Conference Freshman of the Year:
Brenton Scott, Indiana State
Others considered: Reed Timmer, Drake; Josh Cunningham, Bradley

In another close decision, Brenton Scott of Indiana State is our choice for MVC Freshman of the Year.  The Sycamore’s redshirt frosh averaged 11.7 ppg in league play while shooting 45% from three point range.

 

Missouri Valley Conference Newcomer of the Year:
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell, llinois State
Others considered: Tramique Sutherland, Bradley; Paul Jesperson, UNI

Despite missing nearly a month of the season (and the first 3 MVC conference games) Akoon-Purcell was an easy selection as Newcomer of the Year.  The junior transfer played his best basketball at the end of the season, scoring in double figures for the Redbirds in six of the final seven games.  He finished the year averaging 13.0 ppg and 5.7 rebounds per game.

 

Missouri Valley Conference Defensive Player of the Year:
Tekele Cotton, Wichita State
Others Considered: none

In my opinion, Cotton will go down in MVC lore as one of the great defenders in league history. A relentless defender capable of containing virtually all types of scoring threats – inside and out -  we honor Tekele Cotton for the second consecutive year as our Missouri Valley Conference defensive player of the year.

 

I will post our All-MVC teams and Player of the Year Honorees tomorrow.

Wichita State defeats UNI 74-60 to capture MVC regular season title

Ron Baker scored 17 points to help #11 Wichita State beat #10 Northern Iowa 74-60 on Saturday and win the Missouri Valley Conference regular season championship.

Fred VanVleet added 13 points for the Shockers.

Seth Tuttle scored 16 points to lead Northern Iowa (27-3, 16-2), which had a 16-game winning streak snapped.

 

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2015 Arch Madness seeding probabilities – updated February 26

What we know:

1) The winner of the WSU-UNI game will be the #1 seed and win the MVC regular season title

2) If Indiana State defeats Bradley on Saturday, the Sycamores will be the #3 seed

3) If Indiana State loses and Illinois State defeats Evansville, the Redbirds will be the #3 seed and Indiana State will be #4

4) If Indiana St and Illinois St both lose, the Sycs are the #3 seed and Evanville becomes the #4 seed

4) No matter the outcomes on Saturday, Loyola is #6 seed, Drake #7, Missouri State #8

Thanks again to Hacksaw for his continued support in making this site enjoyable and informative for Missouri Valley Conference fans.

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2015 Arch Madness seeding probabilities – updated February 22

What we know:

1) The winner of the WSU-UNI game will be the #1 seed regardless of what happens Wednesday;

2) The winner of the Loyola-Drake game will avoid Thursday and be the #6 seed

With 10 conference games remaining, there are 1,024 different outcomes for the remainder of the conference season. The below charts break down the possible finishes. The current order for the NC SOS tiebreaker from ESPN is: ISUr 38, WSU 43, DU 51, MSU 111, UNI 125, UE 199, LUC 240, BU 245, ISUb 267, SIU 348.

The above charts take into account each possible scenario as an equally-weighted possibility. For a more realistic projection of where teams may be seeded, below you will see the remaining 15 conference games with weighted odds attached to them (using Sagarin’s Predictor, pulled from rpiforecast.com). These odds are then used to calculate the below seeding probabilities.

 

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ESPN’s College Gameday coming to Wichita

ESPN announced today that the MVC season regular season finale at Koch Arena between co-leaders UNI and Wichita State would be the site of College GameDay next Saturday, February 28. This is only the second time a Valley school has hosted the show, with the first coming seven years ago when SIU hosted Creighton.

2015 Arch Madness seeding probabilities – updated February 19


Chris’ note: Thanks again to Hacksaw for keeping us all up to date on the 2015 Arch Madness seeding probabilities.

With 15 conference games remaining, there are 32,768 different outcomes for the remainder of the conference season. The below charts break down the possible finishes. The current order for the NC SOS tiebreaker from ESPN is: WSU 28, DU 40, ISUr 42, MSU 120, UNI 151, UE 196, LUC 240, ISUb 249, BU 254, SIU 348.


 

The above charts take into account each possible scenario as an equally-weighted possibility. For a more realistic projection of where teams may be seeded, below you will see the remaining 15 conference games with weighted odds attached to them (using Sagarin’s Predictor, pulled from rpiforecast.com). These odds are then used to calculate the below seeding probabilities.

 

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2015 Arch Madness seeding probabilities – February 16

It’s time again for one of my favorite features of The MVC Report – thanks to Hacksaw for his continued contribution.

With 20 conference games remaining, there are 1,048,576 different outcomes for the remainder of the conference season. The below charts break down the possible finishes. The top chart is the percentage of scenarios where each team finishes in each respective tournament seed, and the bottom chart is the actual count of those scenarios. These charts take into account the head-to-head tiebreaker (and mini round-robin for a 3+ way tie), if this does not break the tie, it goes to the out of conference strength of schedule tiebreaker. Currently that order is what I have from ESPN (WSU 27, DU 37, ISUr 42, MSU 114, UNI 150, UE 201, LUC 231, ISUb 250, BU 253, SIU 348).

 

The above charts take into account each possible scenario as a pure 50%/50% possibility. For a more realistic likelihood of where teams may be seeded, below you will see the remaining 20 conference games with weighted odds attached to them (from rpiforecast.com). These odds are then used to calculate the below seeding probabilities.

 

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Missouri Valley Conference Power Rankings – Updated February 11

With only five league games to play, the Missouri Valley Conference regular season title remains up for grabs.  Likewise, the other eight teams have the potential to significantly move up or down the MVC pecking order.  Starting this weekend, we will begin posting regular updates of Hacksaw’s seeding probabilities.

MVC Power Rankings

1) Northern Iowa 23-2, 12-1 - Led by MVC Player of the Year front-runner Seth Tuttle, Panthers cruised past Wichita State in Cedar Falls.  It’s easy to imagine the season finale in Wichita on February 28 being for the MVC title.
2) Wichita State 22-3, 12-1 - Wichita State will likely have a chance to defend their Valley title at home on the final day of the season.  While it’s hard to bet against Gregg Marshall, the Shockers can’t look too far ahead as they have 3 road games before then.
3) Indiana State 12-13, 8-5 - A sub .500 team sitting in 3rd place in the Valley with only 5 games to play?  I’m as surprised as you are, but the Sycamores have earned this spot.  Save for a home game vs the Shockers, it’s possible the Sycs finish 4-1.
4) Illinois State 15-10, 7-6 - Redbirds are 0-5 versus the teams above and 7-1 versus the teams below-  including a 26 point win over Evansville. Fourth place seems exactly right for this squad.
5) Evansville 17-8, 7-6 -  Losing Egidjus Mockevicius to injury has hampered the Aces, but it’s hardly an excuse for the Aces’ average play. That said, UE has the star power to contend with the top teams when healthy and could be a surprise team in March.
6) Drake 8-17, 5-8  – I buried the Bulldogs earlier this season, so I need to give them credit for their recent success.  Bulldogs have won 4 of 5 and have been playing well during the second half of the season.
7) Loyola 15-10, 5-8 - Ramblers have a difficult stretch to end the season – 3 of their final 5 games on the road along with UNI at home.
8 ) Bradley 8-18, 3-10 - Bradley gets the surprise victory of the week with their upset victory at Evansville, but having lost 10 of 12 keeps them in strong contention for Thursday night at Arch Madness.
9) Southern Illinois 10-16, 3-10 - Although SIU lost both regular season matchups with Missouri State, the Salukis move up from last place based on their victory over Illinois State last week.
10) Missouri State 9-16, 3-10 - Bears have lost 10 out of 11 and haven’t played well in the absence of Marcus Marshall.

 

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#18 UNI defeats #12 Wichita State; end Shockers 27 game MVC winning streak

In one of the biggest Missouri Valley Conference regular season games in years, #18 Northern Iowa routed #12 Wichita State 70-54 in Cedar Falls on Saturday. In the first Valley game between ranked opponents in 33 years, UNI snapped the Shockers’ 27 game regular season conference winning streak.

The Panthers used a 21-3 scoring run in the first half to take a 37-24 lead into the intermission. UNI was able to keep distance between themselves and WSU throughout the second half as Seth Tuttle elevated himself to the top of the MVC-POY ballot with a career-high 29 points. Wes Washpun scored 16 points off the bench for UNI.

The teams will meet again on February 28th in Wichita as the regular season finale for both teams.

 

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Report: MVC and Mountain West agree to resume Conference Challenge

A report from Dave Reynolds of the Peoria-Journal Star confirms that the Missouri Valley Conference and the Mountain West Conference have agreed to resume the conference challenge after a three year absence.

..”the Missouri Valley Conference and the Mountain West Conference are set to renew their MVC-MWC Challenge series for men’s basketball beginning either next year or the 2016-17 season.

According to MVC commissioner Doug Elgin, the leagues have reached an agreement for a four-year series. An announcement is expected next month, he said, detailing the matchups and what season the games would start.”

During the first 4 years of the challenge from 2009-2012, the Mountain West defeated the Valley 23-13.

Read the full article: Reynolds: Missouri Valley, Mountain West up for another challenge

 

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