MVCfans.com 2014 Missouri Valley Conference Awards and Honors – Part 1

It has been a historic Missouri Valley Conference basketball season and the league’s champion will obviously be well represented on our All-MVC teams and individual honorees list. Today, we start by recognizing a coach and several players for their accomplishments this season.

Below are our selections for Missouri Valley Conference Coach of the Year, Freshman of the Year, Newcomer of the Year, and Defensive Player of the Year.

Missouri Valley Conference Coach of the Year:

Gregg Marshall, Wichita State
Others considered:  Barry Hinson, SIU; Paul Lusk, Missouri State

For the third consecutive season, Gregg Marshall of Wichita State is our selection for MVC Coach of the Year. How do you exceed expectations and win MVC Coach of the Year when you are coming off of a Final 4 trip and are the prohibitive league favorite? How about by winning EVERY game in the regular season. Congrats to Coach Gregg Marshall – our 2014 MVCfans.com Coach of the Year.

 

Missouri Valley Conference Freshman of the Year:
Milton Doyle, Loyola
Others considered: Reggie Lynch, Illinois State; Blake Simmons, Evansville; Austin Ruder, Missouri State

By averaging 15+ points per game, Doyle leads all MVC freshman and ranks among the best scorers in the entire conference. The Kansas transfer will be a foundation for Loyola moving forward.   Congratulations Milton Doyle.

 

Missouri Valley Conference Newcomer of the Year:
Wes Washpun, Northern Iowa
Others considered: Milton Doyle, Loyola; Daishon Knight, Illinois State

This was the most difficult of the individual awards as there are several contenders worthy of recognition. While Doyle and Knight averaged more points, Washpun – a University of Tennessee transfer – managed 8.3 points per game while shooting over 46% from the field.  He also averaged 3.4 rebounds per game and 3.7 assists per game.  Congratulations Wes Washpun.

 

Missouri Valley Conference Defensive Player of the Year:
Tekele Cotton, Wichita State
Others Considered: none

I expect the voting on this award will be unanimous.  On a Wichita State team comprised of several players capable of making All-MVC, Cotton sticks out as the heart and soul of the Shockers’ league leading defense.  We recognize him today as the Defensive Player of the Year.  Congratulations Tekele Cotton.

 

I will post our All-MVC teams and Player of the Year Honoree this weekend.

Final Missouri Valley Conference Tournament – Arch Madness seeding scenarios

The 1, 2, 7 and 10 seeds have been determined already, but as we near Arch Madness you can follow the result of every game to see where your team will be seeded in St. Louis.

February 23 – updated #ArchMadness seeding probabilities

With 10 conference games remaining, there are 1,024 different outcomes for the remainder of the conference season. The below charts break down the possible finishes. The current order for the NC SOS tiebreaker from The RPI Report (as of Feb 23) is: UNI 39, WSU 40, MSU 146, ISU-Red 167, DU 202, ISU-Blue 216, UE 237, SIU 239, BU 284, LUC 337.

The above charts take into account each possible scenario as an equally-weighted possibility. For a more realistic projection of where teams may be seeded, below you will see the remaining 10 conference games with weighted odds attached to them (from rpiforecast.com). These odds are then used to calculate the below seeding probabilities.

Thanks again to Hacksaw for all his hard work putting this together for us!

 

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2014 Arch Madness Seating Chart

 

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February 19 – updated #ArchMadness seeding probabilities

With 15 conference games remaining, there are 32,768 different outcomes for the remainder of the conference season. The below charts break down the possible finishes. The current order for the NC SOS tiebreaker from ESPN is: UNI 28, WSU 46, MSU 154, ISU-Red 158, DU 181, UE 212, ISU-Blue 223, SIU 243, BU 271, LUC 338.

The above charts take into account each possible scenario as an equally-weighted possibility. For a more realistic likelihood of where teams may be seeded, below you will see the remaining 15 conference games with weighted odds attached to them (from rpiforecast.com). These odds are then used to calculate the below .

Wichita State featured on the cover of this week’s Sports Illustrated

2014 Arch Madness seeding probabilities – February 16

With 20 conference games remaining, there are 1,048,576 different outcomes for the remainder of the conference season. The below charts break down the possible finishes. The top chart is the percentage of scenarios where each team finishes in each respective tournament seed, and the bottom chart is the actual count of those scenarios. These charts take into account the head-to-head tiebreaker (and mini round-robin for a 3+ way tie), if this does not break the tie, it goes to the out of conference strength of schedule tiebreaker. Currently that order is what I have from ESPN (UNI 30, WSU 56, ISU-Red 157, MSU 173, DU 182, ISU-Blue 225, UE 228, SIU 241, BU 266, LUC 338).

The above charts take into account each possible scenario as a pure 50%/50% possibility. For a more realistic likelihood of where teams may be seeded, below you will see the remaining 20 conference games with weighted odds attached to them (from rpiforecast.com). These odds are then used to calculate the below seeding probabilities.

February 13 – Updated #ArchMadness bracket projections and MVC standings

Here is your up to the minute projected MVC Tournament bracket provided by Hacksaw. When you look at the specifics, there appear to be three teams very likely to be playing on Thursday night (Loyola, Drake, Evansville), but there is a logjam directly above and one of those teams will also likely be joining them.

 


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ESPN puts chances of Wichita St finishing regular season unbeaten at 79.4%

On a game by game basis, ESPN believes that Wichita State has no worse than a 93.3% chance to win each game individually – the most likely loss coming at Bradley. They give the Shockers a 79.4% chance to win out.

February 7 – Updated MVC Standings and projected #ArchMadness seeds

Here are Hacksaw’s updated MVC standings and projected #ArchMadness seeds after 11 conference games.

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